Well the math idea is you figure out how much money a win gives you and then you can basically year by year see how much +/- they got over the length. No one argues that that years past 5-6 won’t suck but they’re betting that the positive value in the first five years outweighs the negative later. Since a win now is like 8-10 million these 30 million dollar a year deals are basically assuming like a 3.5 win player.
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