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Old 01-11-2023, 09:17 AM   #615
united
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After last night's games, Markstrom, who has the 6th highest cap hit of active goalies, has fallen to 24th in goals saved above expected per game among the 32 most played goalies this season.

At -0.2 per game, Markstrom has allowed 6 more goals than a league average starter this season. If assuming* cap hit should be perfectly reflective of performance, Markstrom has allowed 0.6 more goals per game than the #6 goalie (Kuemper) which translates to an 18-goal differential over his 30 starts. Rule-of-thumb of 3 goals per standings point and that's 6 standings points below expected which seems about right: The Flames would likely be 2nd in the Division and top 10 in the League.

Here's hoping he figures it out and quickly. At some point things need to shift from "can't blame the goalie on that one" to "the sixth highest paid goalie in the league needs to make that save every now and then."

For context, Markstrom over the last four seasons as well:
2021-22 - 7th
2020-21 - 24th
2019-20 - 6th
2018-19 - 15th

Cap numbers from CapFriendly. Other metrics from Natural Stat Trick.
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