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Old 01-10-2023, 11:54 AM   #348
Paulie Walnuts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
Well first off they don't ... the Flames were 14th in shooting percentage last year.

But the talent has changed and with that less high danger and with that a worse shooting percentage I suppose.

But any team with high shot volume won't be top 5-10 in shooting percentage.

I think the better stat is xGF vs GF.

Last year the Flames had the 5th highest xGF60 at 2.79 and finished with an actual GF60 of 2.96 or +0.17

This year the Flames have the 8th highest xGF60 at 2.80 (scoring is up), so they're creating pretty much exactly the same amount, but not finishing as well with 2.66 (-0.14).

Up to the reader to pick from poorer finishers vs bad luck.

When you look at the league, they're right in the middle for disparity at -0.14.

Teams with no luck ... Ottawa, Colorado, Carolina.

Teams with all luck ... Seattle, Vancouver, Buffalo

(focus on offence and 5 on 5 only)
Those are some interesting stats. If our shooting % was in the 8% range we would be rolling.

Here are the shooting % for this LA coaches teams at 5v5. It does seem to have a concerning trend that it was usually at the bottom of the league. They had some talented players so I don't think that is the issue.

7.58% 2013
6.6% 2013/2014(Won the cup)
7.56% 2014/15
6.78 % 2015/2016
6.26% 2016/2017

Two season after Sutter
7.89% 2017/2018
7.47% 2018/2019

Funny enough we are 7.81% which put us smack at the bottom 3 in the league. The league as a whole is shooting better and scoring more.

Last edited by Paulie Walnuts; 01-10-2023 at 11:58 AM.
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