View Single Post
Old 01-06-2023, 01:32 PM   #3202
EldrickOnIce
Franchise Player
 
EldrickOnIce's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Chicago
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis View Post
This continues to use the rather absurd assumption that the Bills were guaranteed to beat the Bengals. At the time the game was stopped every WP% model had the Bengals as 60% favorites, which would rise to 70% if they scored a TD on the drive they were on, which seemed like a good bet with how easy they were moving the ball. Long way to go in the game and all that, but the Bengals are arguably the best team in the AFC right now. The Bills were not playing an automatic W here, it would have been a tough win for them.

The Bills are the winners in all of this, without question. They get the second hardest game of their season voided to a neutral result, avoid going on the road in the division round to Cincinnati, and if they play the Chiefs at a "neutral site" in the AFC Championship, it will probably be in Detroit, with 80% Bills fans. At the time the MNF game was stopped the Chiefs were favorites to have homefield, now they don't. They don't lose as badly as the Bengals here, but they aren't some big time winner out of this.
These are not assumptions, they are facts.
Including all scheduled games not yet played, one team had control of their own destiny (for 1st seed in the AFC). The NFL (while citing minimizing 'competitive inequaties') gave that control to a different team. A team that had already lost to both other potential challengers for 1st seed. These are the facts. That you spin this at KC losing something is what is actually adsurd.

The league seems to acknowledge KC doesn't really deserve this advantage by not granting them everything that a team that earns 1st seed is entitled to. This is an assumption. I trust you note the difference
EldrickOnIce is offline   Reply With Quote