Quote:
Originally Posted by edslunch
Is there any quantitative analysis of road vs home? It seems like it could be added to the strength of schedule somehow.
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I think I've done it!
(I'm sure this is similar to the sagarin models etc).
If you take every NHL team and look at the win percentage of the game they will play based on the standings today and each team's win percentage at home and on the road you get a true strength of schedule based on today's standings.
So the Flames have the easiest home schedule at .5022 (barely .500 road win percentage opposition), the easiest road schedule at .5189 (opposition home win percentage), which clearly weights to the easiest overall schedule at .5111
Next closest team is Dallas at .5171
Edmonton .5415
Hardest schedule ... Florida .5917
I'll put a graphic in a bit ...