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Old 12-14-2022, 09:00 AM   #3620
PeteMoss
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: SW Ontario
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Quote:
Originally Posted by madmike View Post
I wouldn’t be so sure yet. The Cons got hammered in the Mississauga byelection this week. They were expected to lose but the Liberal margin of victory actually increased.

If the Cons don’t make inroads in the GTA, they aren’t winning an election. Their best path to victory is honestly a stronger NDP - they need more vote splitting - but that isn’t likely to happen any time soon.
There is a lot of strategic voting in the GTA. If people think the Cons have a chance and they push too far right - they'll coalesce around one party. That's the Doug Ford secret - he doesn't get people riled up against him - so they just vote for whoever and he sneaks up the right and wins.
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