The conservatives need ridings like this to form government. Harper won it by over 9 points in his majority. It was called for the Liberals before the first quarter of polls reported in.
Could move a lot when the bigger polls come in, but the Liberals won by 6 points in the last election, and are now up by over 20 points right now. If they keep their lead to 10+, this is a big loss for Poilievre. However- he didn't even step foot in the riding apparently.
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