Quote:
Originally Posted by Hot_Flatus
I think Dallas really missed the boat by not giving Robertson a max term de in this instance. The current contract is okay, but they are set up for a world of hurt with the single year of RFA status like we were with Tkachuk.
The deal is still for 4 years, so it's not like it's a problem today, but man I bet they're kicking themselves that they didn't double down for 9.5 or something like that.
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A 23 year old isn't signing an 8 yr deal unless it is really really really worth their while. Robertson has set himself up for his UFA deal:
best case scenario = $100M +31M = 131M
likely = 64M-80M = 95-111M
worst case = 0-?? = 31M - ?? (but I can't think of any once promising players who found themselves out of the league or dropping their AAVs significantly by age 27)
So you'd have to pay him pretty close to $100M on this deal to make it worth his while, because a UFA deal for a 31 yo winger is far harder to predict (plenty examples of guys falling off by then), and could easily be a lot less than the 31M deal he just signed.