Quote:
Originally Posted by Ozy_Flame
And to follow up that Iraqi Information Minister propaganda, here's what really matters:
https://twitter.com/user/status/1600858316347170816
Well, Eric Grenier, noted nose-counting guru, says the NDP’s 10-point lead in Calgary is an election-winning one for that party.
Putting the poll results into a projection of who would win what legislature seats, the result would be the NDP with 46 seats and Smith’s UCP with 41.
The NDP would win 21 out of 26 seats in Calgary.
In the last election, the NDP won only three in Calgary. |
Mainstreet's poll out yesterday found only a 1-point lead for the NDP in Calgary, but if AR, Janet Brown, and Leger all have 6%+ leads, Mainstreet is definitely looking like the outlier there (their previous reputation makes that an easy narrative to believe).
But there's also some stuff in that Angus Reid poll that's surprising. Only a 7 point lead for the NDP in Edmonton? That makes 2 polls this month that have the NDP leading by more in Calgary than in Edmonton. I have a hard time believing that. Maybe there's a bit of a shift of the UCP alienating white-collar voters with their economic instability, but attracting blue-collar voters who might not have been previously politically active with their populism.