Quote:
Originally Posted by Hemi-Cuda
Why would Ukraine agree to that though? Any ceasefire simply gives Russia the ability to restock for further aggression, which is their whole MO. You can't take any promises made by Putin at face value. And taking Crimea away from them removes one of Russia's largest staging areas, which might mean the difference between a peace that last decades vs 5-10 years before Russia invades again
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True...but...and I'm just spitballing here, but Russia's Armed Forces are decimated for a Generation. They lost the Mystique of being the 'Big Red Bear' and they'll have no experienced leadership for decades or experienced soldiers.
Not to mention that the inherent corruption within their systems probably isnt going anywhere so their armed forces arent likely to get any better, especially considering that they're going to be in no economic position to re-arm, in addition to the fact that it also gives Ukraine the opportunity to be ready and further by the time Russia ever has the opportunity to be the aggressor again Putin will be dead and the specter of the USSR should be gone.
This was a surprise and the Ukrainians are dummying them, if they were armed, supplied and prepared? No chance, because everything I said about the Russians? The opposite is true for Ukraine. They're going to have a Generation of experienced and battle-hardened soldiers and leadership. This is Russia's shot.