Quote:
Originally Posted by Strange Brew
I guess we disagree on the bolded. Maybe if the season ended today but thankfully it doesn't. IMO at this point it's more about how you're playing than the difference three points makes.
The strength of schedule is going to move around a lot earlier in the season too as team's winning percentages change more dramatically. For instance going into last night Seattle had the 9th easiest start to the season. After last night they were 11th. They didn't even play.
Agree with your earlier comment. Some people hate excuses of any type, guess that's where I am at.
Appreciate you putting some data forward vs. just wild proclamations of how arduous the schedule has been.
|
Three points in 22 games is pretty important in my mind.
But the bolded part ... that's sort of the whole point. The average gap between teams in difficulty of schedule is 0.16 which is a whisker in the standings, it barely matters at all.
The Flames gap to the next hardest schedule is 1.9 or 12X the average gap between teams. The next closest gap is 0.67.
If I'm trying to make an argument that the Oilers have had a more difficult schedule than say the Jets it would be silly ... they're very tight.
The curve has a kicker on it to the Flames which is significant and an outlier for these things.
Does it mean they should have double the points? No.
But it's certainly more significant than the Seattle example.