Quote:
Originally Posted by dino7c
They won't have a league average schedule by the end of the season...after 82 games their schedule will be below the mean based on the schedule being heavily weighted towards their division.
You are doing math like every team has an even schedule after 82...they don't
Flames have played only 5 games in their division (3-2) and all against the top 4 teams in the division, zero against the bottom 3.
Flames have a team in their division that has given out points in 22 of their 23 games. Calgary has not played ANY of the leagues bottom six teams.
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We cam measure this though.
Let's look at Flames remaining SOS vs. Edmonton and Seattle.
Flames have easiest remaining schedule in the league.
Oilers 5th easiest
Seattle 9th easiest
All three have 60 games left.
Expected points for their opponents the rest of the way:
Flames: 62.6 points
Oilers: 64.7 points
Seattle: 65.7 points
So all things being equal, we'll expect Flames to gain 2.1 points on the Oilers and 3.1 points on Seattle.
It's not nothing. But it's really not that big of a deal.