Quote:
Originally Posted by Icantwhisper
What if the bottom dwelling teams get hot and they move up the standings before we play them???? Or are we assuming the standings stay the same till the end of the year?
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You can look at the strength of schedule based on the record of your opponent when you played them or with hindsight based on their record when you calculate it.
Neither are perfect.
True strength of schedule should factor in home/away, back to backs, winning or losing streaks, injuries at the time, backup goalies. All kinds of crap. I don't know if a guy like Sagarin incorporates that into his models. But really it's not much of an issue IMO with the NHL unlike say NCAAF.