Quote:
Originally Posted by Strange Brew
No one is saying strength of schedule doesn't matter. It's a question of how much. If the Flames played an average schedule, what would be their expected point total based on how they have played to date?
Per the graph, average standing of Flames opponents is around 12th. Which is Detroit at 26 points.
League average in the graph is 16th, which is the Rangers with 24 points.
So since it is simple math as you say, if you played all your games against the Rangers instead of Detroit, you'd expect to have two points more. Wow.
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I get your point, tricky with small numbers of course (in your example Wings have played 2 less games than Rangers anyways?)
currently I think the Flames opponents are picking up points at about a .645 clip- looking over last year that puts them somewhere between Boston and Edmonton, about 105 points, versus the league median team is at about 95 points
so over the whole season it's an appreciable difference and could certainly be the difference between playoffs and not- in the smaller run- sure I agree, maybe if we are generous we can add 2 points to the Flames
up to them whether they decide to make hay once they hit the soft teams