..^Edit: just saw Kasi’s post which was posted as I was typing this. I agree
The thing about PDO is that it is interpreted by many as luck, but also can be systematic
There are two components - shooting percentage and save %
Shooting percentage - the Flames have a low shooting percentage. They also put up over 40 perimeter shots on Tampa, not getting to the tough areas.
On one hand, a really low shooting percentage is expected to regress to the mean
On the other hand, the really low shooting percentage reflects how they have been playing
Save percentage - similarly, the Flames are keeping shot totals against reasonable, but giving up a high number of high danger chances. I assume someone could show data on high danger chances vs shots allowed that would show something systemic. Plus there has been the odd stinker.
From a luck standpoint, you don’t expect the odd stinkers to be as frequent. Otherwise, I think the low save percentage has been a product of how they are playing
The way the Flames have failed to bring the effort and attention to detail for a full 60, the PDO is reflective of their play. They can’t just outwait it. They need to play better so they can change it
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