Quote:
Originally Posted by Sidney Crosby's Hat
I honestly don't see how Trump can lose the primaries. He has his hard core base and there are a lot of them so it's going to be him against the field. If there's 6 or 7 candidates overall, he's getting 40-45% of the vote right off the start. He's going to win a ton of delegates unless the others drop out really fast.
It'll be very interesting if he does lose, though. He will definitely claim that it's rigged and that the nomination was stolen from him. No question, he would run no matter what. I don't see that happening, though.
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I guess it really depends on how many other candidates there are and how they play it. In 2016, Republicans didn't take Trump seriously and he was able to pick them off 1 at a time. Contrast that with how the Democrats treated 2020; Bien wasn't particularly strong, so the other candidates were willing to bow out early so the party could coalesce around Biden. (of course that had the Bernie supporters screaming 'conspiracy' but that's a whole different discussion.)
If the moderates/anyone but Trump folks bicker and stay divided, I could see Trump with a path again based on his devoted core. But I think if the party can rally around someone else early and make it a 2 candidate fight, he would probably lose.