Quote:
Originally Posted by Lanny_McDonald
Boebert won in a presidential election year when just under 430,000 ballots were cast. In the past two mid-term elections there were 336,200 and 281,100 votes cast. Projections for registrations has them similar to 2018, so an expected turnout of 330,000 votes. There's about 35,000 ballots out there and Boebert needs to make up 3,500 votes. She's still in this if those votes are in Custer, Dolores, or Delta counties, where she had huge support. If they are from elsewhere in the district, she may be done. All the others were close to leaning Dem. Need to know what counties are outstanding.
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The remaining votes appears to primarily remain in Pueblo County, which
the NYT page is showing as leaning Democrat currently (though their model also suggests the biggest pickup will be in Mesa, where they believe a ~4000 vote swing for Boebert still exists).