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Old 11-07-2022, 05:17 AM   #127
Mindtravellee
Crash and Bang Winger
 
Join Date: Jan 2021
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GullFoss View Post
I'm just saying that from a risk-reward standpoint, it made more sense to keep Valimaki over Mackey. One guy is 24, with a potentially a high ceiling. The other player is 26 with a "meh" ceiling. To take the meh player because he's played a better "last 80 games" over the guy with substantially more upside (and at 24 y/o, more time to reach that upside) is really odd asset management to me, especially when you're talking about a #8 defensemen.

It's like if I gave you the choice of 50% chance of winning $100 or a 10% chance of winning $100,000. Assuming you're not in a rough financial position, the correct decision is typically to take the option with a higher expected value.
Overthinking this. Valimaki was terrible during preseason and they had they had been shopping him around. He had the larger cap hit and it was hoped that protected him. Only 1 club put the claim on
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