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Old 11-02-2022, 07:33 PM   #201
d_phaneuf
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Originally Posted by Slava View Post
Being honest, I don’t really understand how they get these percentages. Don’t all the balls have the same odds as being pulled? I know in this round that two teams from the same league can’t play. But why would Spurs be more likely get Inter than to get Brugge, for example?
Because inter are blocked from 2 teams, brugge by 1

Bayern and liverpool have such a higher average than everyone else is because both are blocked by their group team, plus 3 in country

Those odds are done usually by running a monte carlo simulation of the draw with the rules in place
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