Quote:
Originally Posted by Fighting Banana Slug
That polling info doesn't really mean much without a breakdown on expected seats. The rural/urban splits will tell the full story (and even that, I don't generally trust polling data this far out of an election).
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Splits here in the full poll:
https://legermarketing.wpenginepower...ct-12-2022.pdf
Agreed on being skeptical this far out from an election, but there's one particular thing Smith needs to be really worried about in this poll, and that is that she's starting out waaaay behind Notley on the question of who would make the better premier. Even in rural Alberta where The UCP leads the NDP by 16% overall, the difference on the 'better premier' question is within the margin of error. She trails on that question by 15% in Calgary.
And this poll was completed entirely before her introductory press conference with her 'most discriminated against' comments, so there's certainly reason to think it would be lower now than when the poll was taken.