Quote:
Originally Posted by Cowboy89
The math's pretty staggering though. She only needs 7 Calgary seats to win essentially. It wasn't even doable for Notley in 2015 when 8 seats went PC when there was vote splitting. Danielle Smith has to push like 10-15% of Calgary UCP voters into the arms of the NDP in Calgary for it to be doable to limit the UCP to less than 7 seats. Possible yes, however it might be tough in a high oil price environment and recovering economy to get that many people to switch over.
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I also don't think it is a given she sweeps rural Alberta and the rest of urban Alberta. Calgary....well if the voting public here are ok with bat #### crazy cuz they are making a few bucks then good on them. Anyone I talked to in YYC during the whole "convoy thing" was pretty disgusted. Pretty sure that is what Smith is going to bring to the table...divisive "convoy" politics backed by a lie staying just ahead of another lie, repeat.