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Old 10-04-2022, 06:37 PM   #1496
Fuzz
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Quote:
Originally Posted by calgarygeologist View Post
I guess it depends on how much support Smith actually gets in the leadership vote. If it is split at all it could indicate that support for a UCP led by Smith may not be that great. If she wins at the same level that PP did for the CPC that is a very different story.
Support or not, the far right in Alberta have picked her. So no farther right party has much chance, and the moderate Conservatives have all left the building. So whatever the level of support is in the vote, team blue won't have much choice but to line up behind her, or stay home. Maybe staying home gives enough of a boost to the NDP, but I still don't see a world with Smith leading the UCP that the NDP have a better chance than 2015. It'll be a narrow NDP victory if they can get it. Probably still a majority, given we have become a 2 party province, but it'll be tight.
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