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Originally Posted by octothorp
What do people here think of various fan theories on Sauron?
Spoiler!
The most popular one seems to be Halbrand, but there's also the Stranger; Adar; the elf who's face is never shown at the dinner with Elrond, Durin and Gil-Galad; or the possibility that he hasn't been shown yet. (Also, possibility that there are multiple Saurons, or one shapeshifing Sauron.)
Even though the Halbrand theory people think that they have a leak that suggests this, IMO it's the least sensible of all of these options; I think there are a lot of hints in his dialogue, but nothing in his actions to suggest Sauron, which is exactly how I'd want to throw the hardcore fans a red-herring. The Stranger... I don't know, I can kinda see that possibility, especially if there's any truth to Adar claiming he killed Sauron. It would be consistent with how Gandalf returned not remembering who he was at first. I still think the Stranger being a Maiar sent by the Valar is more likely. Adar seems unlikely at this point unless he's doing a really long con. I like the guy-at-the-table theory, but it's kinda inconsequential.
I do think Sauron already being present and active in either Lindon or Eregion already is most likely, whether we've had a glimpse of him or not. My hunch is that season 2 will have much more Eregion/Lindon intrigue with Elrond at the center of trying to figure out what's going on.
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I think it also depends on where in the timeline the story is at right now.
I agree with your theory, but the others are plausible as well.