Quote:
Originally Posted by blankall
I just don't see Russia pulling it off this time. The Ukrainians keep getting more organized and access to better equipment. Russia just doesn't seem to have the man power to raise an army, let alone start building the supplies to arm and equip that army.
The situations you're referring to also typically occur when Russia is a being invaded and on the defensive. The Russian/Ukrainian plains are notoriously difficult to move through. Now Russia is trying to move offensively through them, and it'll be winter soon.
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Russia doesn't really need to do offense. If they can hold on to what they have, they will still have achieved one of their main goals, which was a land bridge to Crimea and nearly complete annexation of Donetsk and Luhansk.
I definitely agree that Ukraine has a decent chance to win this, but it's far too soon to count Russia out.
...and yes, they are incompetent, but what Putin is doing makes sense in that situation. Stop trying to make them do competent things and focus on the one part of the numbers game you can actually win.