Quote:
Originally Posted by Hemi-Cuda
Ukraine's estimates of Russian loses have been pretty accurate with US intelligence reports, don't see why they'd start inflating them now
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First, US is not a neutral party, and second, Ukraine will start inflating numbers the moment they feel they should.
For example, if they're suffering heavy casualties, they'll want to so say the other side is taking heavy casualties too whether that's the case or not.
It's also worth remembering that not all casualties are equal. Losing trained professional troops hurts both sides a lot. Ukraine however as a clear advantage in sheer numbers of troops and potential reserves, so they can afford to lose more men, as long as they're not losing their best troops. I'm saying this just to add reasons why simple casualty numbers don't tell us much about what's going on.
For the record, I'm not in any way ruling out the possibility that Ukraine really is doing well in the attack. I'm just trying to keep myself very grounded and prepared for the possibility of bad news.