Quote:
Originally Posted by ricardodw
It's your game but is his drop in NHLe to 24.3 in his D+1 significant?
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It's not ideal for his NHLe to drop but the change of leagues and his age relative to NCAA peers plays a role in that. Plus the drop isn't as big as you suggest - Byron Bader at NHLES.COM had the drop from 38 to 33. 33 is still really strong D+1 production for a first time NCAA player.
Historically that level of NCAA production for a True Freshman is still trending in the right direction.
Look at picks from the same draft year:
Beniers: 43 points in 37 games (2nd NCAA season, 24 in 24 in his first season)
Johnson: 37 points in 32 games (2nd NCAA season, 27 in 26 in his first season)
Coronato: 36 points in 34 games (1st NCAA season)
Johnson had 9 points in 7 games at the WJC. Coronato had 7 points in 5 games.
Beniers and Johnson had really similar production, and both of those guys looked good in limited NHL time last season. Coronato's progression and development is a lot closer to those two than it is to Dustin Boyd. Those two are already penciled in to be NHLers next season.