There is a core maga cult that still accounts for at least 50% of GOP voters. They will vote for Trump no matter what. The first few primaries will be crowded, and if Trump even stays around 50%, he will be seen as mopping the floor with the others and cruise to an easy nomination. I guess if it got down to Trump vs DeSantis in a 1v1 early in the process, it might be close, but I think Clay is right that DeSantis is the second choice of the vast majority of Trump supporters.
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