Quote:
Originally Posted by Mull
This is my entire point though, I don't know if its true the US believed that, I think it was a bait and switch they pulled on the Russians.
Its factually wrong to say no weapons or aid were given to Ukraine prior to the invasion, $700 Million was given between Biden taking office and the invasion. Billions of $ since 2014 up to the invasion
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Not sure if we'll ever truly know the extent of what the US intelligence knowledge of this conflict and their real estimate of Ukraine vs Russia. However there is a neat historical precedent for underselling the strength of a country in relation to Russia.
In WWII, the British starting sowing fake intelligence to the Germans that painted Russia as a weaken country at that time and created a narrative that it would be a great benefit for Germany to invade Russia to claim valuable Russian resources for their own war effort, and to do so before Russia eventually recovers and become a potential threat. How effective this operation was in influencing Germany to betray Russia is unclear, but Germany opening up a second front in the war to fight Russia was one of their worst strategic mistakes of WWII.
So if it was a bait and switch and Ukraine and the West tricked the Russians to go in unprepared, it's not the first time that happened in history, except this time Russia's on the end of the deception
LChoy