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Old 08-05-2022, 11:16 AM   #657
Aarongavey
Franchise Player
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dustygoon View Post
Keeping in mind that we are supposed to overpay because taxes and cold....

- Huberdeau comes in at 12.6% of CF's 2023/2024 cap estimate...IS THAT BAD?

- Which is just outside the top 15 of current players in terms of cap % at time of signing....NOT TOO BAD

- That's right between Seguin and Benn...THOSE DIDN'T AGE SO WELL

- I don't see any wingers signing at his age getting close to this much including Ovi.....CRIPES

- Assuming the cap grows ~5% (ie average of prior 14 seasons which is probably a low
estimate given inflation), then this will be 10% of cap towards end of the contract.....I CAN DEAL

This is rich, but not debilitating. Hopefully there is a halo effect of positivity and draws other players and reasonable prices.
CF has a flat cap starting in two years, that will never happen. Estimates right now have the players paying off the money they owe to the owners in another 2-3 seasons. They are paying off about 300 million a year going forward. Assuming 5 billion in revenue, players are getting 2.2 billion and the owners are getting 2.8 billion. Once the players pay off that money I think one can assume conservatively that the cap will go up by similar percentages that it did before the pandemic on the backend of this deal. That would be roughly a 30% increase over the last 7 years of the deal, 25% of or so on the last 6 years if it takes 3 years to pay off the debt. That gives you something between a 104 million and a 109 million cap in the last year.
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