Quote:
Originally Posted by bizaro86
Yeah, the next election is almost certainly either a UCP or NDP majority. I don't see a third party getting any seats all, certainly not enough to pull both below the threshold.
Maybe if the UCP picked a very moderate leader you'd see a far-right splinter that could take a few rural ridings, but both parts of that look unlikely
|
It's not necessary for a third party to actually win any seats, they just need to siphon off a portion of the votes. For example, if a riding would have normally gone 55% to 45% but instead a third party takes away 15% of the vote from the first party, then it becomes 45% to (40% + 15%).