Quote:
Originally Posted by Aarongavey
The American TV contracts are up after year 5 of an 8 year deal. You can reasonably expect the value of those contracts to go significantly up at that time if history is an indicator. The Canadian deal is up at the end of year 3 of a 8 year deal. That deal also likely goes up. Sports betting will likely start adding significant revenue. It is reasonable to think that on the backend of a 8 year deal that the cap (along with just general societal inflationary effects) will be around 100 million or more once, which makes the backend years more manageable. Player debt is also projected to be paid off by the end of year 2 of the deal, at which time that will put upward pressure on the cap.
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Sure, but the issue isn't really guys being overpaid by a few million at the back end - its the risk of their play falling off so dramatically that they are overpaid by 70%.
Is there a huge difference for a 10M AAV on a player who's 'bad player' market value is 4M in an inflated cap vs. 3M in today's cap?
How much better would the last years of Kessel's 8M or Subban's 9M have looked if the cap go up to 90M?