Quote:
Originally Posted by Aarongavey
Brad routinely goes out on UFA day and overpays for free agents. If he overpaid for a guy who was a a PPG guy the previous three seasons (last summer) or if you want to have a more negative time frame was a 0.88 PPG guy the year before I would have been fine with it.
He gave a 31 year old guy who had averaged 0.64 PPG the previous three years and 0.62 PPG the previous year 5.75 million dollar a year contract over 5 years under a 79.5 million dollar cap (7.23% of the cap)
He gave a a 31 year old forward who had averaged 0.51 PPG over the previous 3 years and 0.52 PPG in his last year a 4 year 4.5 million dollar a year contract under a 73 million dollar cap (6.16% of the cap)
I would have been fine giving a guy who is twice the player that either of those guys were before they joined the Flames 10-11% of the value of the cap on a long term deal last summer (somewhere between 8 and 9 million a year). No questions asked I would have signed a contract in that range. Anything above 11% I would probably have thought about personally.
But his 20/21 stats were a 28 goal, 44 assist 72 point season over 82 games. It was not like he was dog#### the year before last.
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Yes, he was around .85 PPG over the
two previous seasons. Not terrible. Not 115 points good. Not 10.5 good. Which I'd lay even money on he will never approach again. Even other teams in a bidding war didn't give him 10.5.
Your example is flawed of course, since you are talking about a two-way player. Which Gaudreau was not accused of being in July 2021 (which he also turned around).
Your problem is you have magic GM thinking. Like Lou L would have seen the future and given Johnny Gaudreau $11M.