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Old 07-10-2022, 07:24 PM   #54
Jay Random
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Join Date: Aug 2005
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ComixZone View Post
The goal is to win the Stanley Cup.

Since the modern era began in 2005/2006:

- Only two teams have won the Stanley Cup without a #1 or #2 draft pick on their team that was home grown. That's 88% of the Stanley Cup Champions in that window

- 10 of the 17 teams that won the Stanley Cup had more than one home grown top 4 picks on their team

- 9 of the 17 teams that won the Stanley Cup had more than one home grown top 3 picks on their team

- 0 teams have won the Stanley Cup without at least a #3 draft pick on their team

- Only 2 teams have won the Stanley Cup without a home grown player selected in the top 4.

I don't care about how you get there but the reality is you pretty much need to draft in the top-3 to win a Stanley Cup.
Now compare the percentage of teams that won the Stanley Cup with a homegrown top-3 pick to the percentage of teams that have a homegrown top-3 pick.

Basically, you're saying that the fraction is really close to 1 because the numerator is big, and not even looking at the denominator. You just flunked elementary school math.
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