Quote:
Originally Posted by Aarongavey
The number of forwards who ever had a season with more points than what Tkachuk has this year on that list - 2 (Heatley and Malkin)
Total number of seasons with more points than what Tkachuk has last year - 4 (3 for Malkin, 1 for Heatley).
Total number of players who had a season with the same number of points - 1 (Daniel Sedin, he got 104 points in his best season)
Tkachuk has already, at the age of 24, has a better individual statistical season than 86% of the forwards on that list. He has had the same or better than 90% of the forwards on that list. Tkachuk is worth a lot more than a 2nd overall pick.
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There is a very simple explanation for that:
https://www.hockey-reference.com/leagues/stats.html
3.14 goals per game this year - the most since '95-96 when the Penguins set some of those nifty records for most players with __ goals/points that we approached (maybe we beat some?)
2nd highest in those ~25 years was after the lockout at 3.08. The next higher years are recent at 3.02 and 3.01.
The average from '98 to '17 was 2.76 --> 226 goals per season per team (most of the guys on that list primes were in this period).
257.5 goals per team this year.
That 30ish goal differential is probably worth 15-20 pts for most teams' top players.
This is something worth keeping in mind when thinking about how much to pay guys having gaudy career years.