Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
From some quick hunting around it looks like there's about a 45% chance a pick in this range plays a significant amount of games (still not a star but makes it)
Even if the Habs draft a guy that plays 150 games the Flames still get more value out of Toffoli than a tweener at the end of the first round.
Then there's the Montreal would have picked a different player than Calgary would have noise that makes the loop endless.
Bottom line pointless to call it a lost trade, or a likely lost trade, when the math actually suggests it's more than likely that's not the case.
The odds are pretty good that the Flames do just fine in this one ... especially if they move Toffoli at the end of his contract and recoup some assets.
|
To add to this, that 45% is likely to be much lower this year with a very weak draft class. I think it will be hard for that pick to have a much bigger impact than Toffoli, especially in the near future when the team is ready to compete.
__________________
"You know, that's kinda why I came here, to show that I don't suck that much" ~ Devin Cooley, Professional Goaltender
|