Quote:
Originally Posted by jjgallow
It's true, anything can happen and there is always the possibility of this being a good trade. It's just a really, really, really, really low possibility at this point. I should also mention that personally, I'm not going to care what he does in the regular season. For me to turn around and call this a good trade he'd need to play a role in bringing us to the dance. Because acquiring him reduced those odds over the next 10 years.
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From some quick hunting around it looks like there's about a 45% chance a pick in this range plays a significant amount of games (still not a star but makes it)
Even if the Habs draft a guy that plays 150 games the Flames still get more value out of Toffoli than a tweener at the end of the first round.
Then there's the Montreal would have picked a different player than Calgary would have noise that makes the loop endless.
Bottom line pointless to call it a lost trade, or a likely lost trade, when the math actually suggests it's more than likely that's not the case.
The odds are pretty good that the Flames do just fine in this one ... especially if they move Toffoli at the end of his contract and recoup some assets.