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Old 07-04-2022, 12:07 PM   #1245
GioforPM
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Join Date: Oct 2014
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Quote:
Originally Posted by IamNotKenKing View Post
By what I interpret to be your logic, every single trade is bad if it does not result in a cup win that year, or within X years, with X not defined.

That means 97% of this year's trade deadline trades were "bad". That is ridiculous. (My cursory review showed 33 trades on trade deadline day, Avs made 1, therefor 32/33 were bad.)

Every trade is an attempt to make each team better, either now, or later, but as we all know, only one team wins the Cup every year. Every trade is an attempt to increases the chances at a Cup. Again either that year or in future year or years.

Also, what is the definition of "favourite" to win the Cup? Should a team only make a trade if they are 5-1 or better odds? 4-1? 1.9-1? What is the magic number? When are those odds to be assessed? At the trade deadline? One week before? Two weeks before?

The day leading into the playoffs, DraftKings' odds had:
Avs at +350;
Panthers +550
Flames +800
Leafs +900

The Avs were the favourites, then the Panthers, then us. The Flames were 3rd. That makes us A favourite. Not THE favourite, as that is the Avs, but A favourite. Were only the Avs allowed to make trades?

Much of what you are saying or suggesting is so black and white as to be nonsensical.
Not only were the Flames third, there was only one team above them in the west. So if the Avs faltered or had a massive injury (say, Makar), the Flames are right there as top choice to make it to the final.

TB was not in the top 4. I guess they should have thrown in the towel.
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