Quote:
Originally Posted by The Cobra
You value year 8 as basically worthless to the player, in that you equate $80M over 8 years as better than $79M over 7 years, as an example.
I doubt most players look at it that way.
I would equate $80M over 8 years as being about equal to about $76M over 7 years, more or less, depending on the age of the player when the contract ends.
And I expect Johnny will not take the highest offer regardless of whether he stays in Calgary or goes elsewhere. Just my gut feeling.
|
Every player interview I’ve ever seen about money talks about total contract value. And for the difference you are talking about the Flames would be offering only 10M compared to 11.3 by another team. There’s no way that difference will exist. The difference between 7 and 8 years will more likely be 7 million, not one.
And the hypothetical was him taking the highest offer for a “retirement contract”. We all agree that if he values something else, it doesn’t matter.
The point is that just saying “why would he not see what’s out there” ignores the risk og giving up the highest deal just on pretty easy math and predictions on what contracts are available. What team is going to offer 12 million x 7 years? Because that’s what it takes to equal 10.5x8.