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Originally Posted by edslunch
Lots of discussion about what type of drone it was, some suggesting it was a Russian model, supported by the comments of the bystanders' commentary in the video. If so did Ukraine capture and repurpose it? Or if it was not a Russian model how did it get 300 km into Russian airspace, and for that matter why go that far for a target? Lots of questions.
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Drones from this war have crossed over a few countries, either intentionally or errantly. One just recently crashed in Romania. A few months ago, one crossed over Romania and Hungary, before crashing in Croatia and leaving a big crater. Not to mention the ones that have crossed into Russia. I don't know if that is due to the nature of drones being difficult to detect and stop, or if the air defenses in these regions are just inadequate.
Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch
This war can't go on 10 more years, let alone 10 more months. The attrition in this war will effect the Ukranian's more then the Russian Military who seem mostly to just sit back and systematically destroy infrastructure and everything of value.
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Yeah, there seems to be a lot of worry lately that Ukraine cannot sustain things at the current pace despite valiantly holding their own. I think there are two potential end games at this point. Russia secures the areas it currently has and Ukraine's border is redrawn before joining the EU and later into NATO. It sucks for Ukraine and I am not saying that I advocate for just cutting losses and moving forward, but I don't think countries supporting Ukraine's efforts are going to want to keep this going much longer.
The other possibility is that the war expands. There are numerous ways this could happen. Internal conflict in Russia, a revolution in Belarus forcing Russia to intervene, but more likely Russia either invading another country or another country entering on Ukraine's behalf. Moldova for one could be one to watch. There are fears that Russia intends to eventually connect the occupied regions in Ukraine with Transnistria and could occupy Moldova in the process. Russia has tried to control that area on and off for hundreds of years. Moldova's current government is pro-West and has not ruled out possibly seeking unification with Romania if it ever got to that point. Their constitution recognizes "Moldovans" as a Romanian people and the only reason why they decided to retain their independence was under political pressure to not shake the boat. A conflict there would immediately escalate the situation with NATO as there is no way Romania would stay out of it.
Not to be the conspiracy guy, but if some leaders want Ukraine to hold out longer, things could be allowed to happen to help justify expanding it. Given that the Ukraine EU talks have heated up though, I suspect that they are preparing for the first scenario.