Quote:
Originally Posted by powderjunkie
Perhaps, but if Johnny is smart he'll listen to lots of perspectives. A smart agent isn't going to persuade his client down a path that runs counter to the client's heart...that's how you end up getting fired.
Of course not. This is just one of dozens (if not hundreds) of factors to consider.
His gut, head, and heart are each thinking slightly different things right now. He's probably leaning slightly one way or the other, but with these kinds of decisions it can be hard to even know what you think you want. He's probably running various scenarios of pros/cons through his head all the time right now, and this is just one of the variables that has weights on each side of the scales.
Another would be time value of money. A higher AAV 7 year deal gives him more money to invest sooner. That could easily work out to $500k-1M over 7 years. Just another consideration that might mitigate any delta between 7 and 8 years.
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I don’t think the time value of money would play a huge part in it as more than likely both contracts would be front loaded with bonuses as much as possible
If player didn’t value year 8 because they might get a contract in 7 years worth $5 mil then you would see more players sign shorter term at Johnnys age. Especially with very high escrow and a flat cap. Why wouldn’t Johnny sign 2 years for $20 to $24 mil with high bonuses and when the Covid revenue is paid back and the cap increases to $88 to $90 mil in a few years at age 31 he probably getting 7 years $10 mil from any teams and his earnings would be much higher especially dodging escrow payments those first 2 years
I’m thinking the risk is not worth it so 8 years imo makes a difference at his age