Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - Please explain this cup winning goalie anomaly

powderjunkie · 05-31-2022, 09:40 AM

I don't really get the small sample size argument. Every year there are like 1300+ reg season games to determine seeding for a gruelling 4x7 tournament. There is always puck luck and some randomness involved, but its a pretty rigorous 'test'.

If we just flipped a coin 10 times, the odds of 10 straight heads is 1/1024.

Now the question is what is the proportion of homegrown vs. other goalies [as starters]? We know the last 2 rounds will be 50/50.

Rd 2 loser teams were 1 hg (Binnington/Husso) to 3 other.
Rd 1 losers IIRC: WAS, NAS, DAL, LAK

PIT was pretty weird with DeSmith and Jarry homegrown playing just the first and last games I think?

So we started with 7 homegrown, 8 UFA/trade, and PIT's weird situation. I'd imagine most years it's not far off 50/50 either...

05-31-2022, 09:40 AM	#26
powderjunkie Franchise Player Join Date: Dec 2011 Exp:	I don't really get the small sample size argument. Every year there are like 1300+ reg season games to determine seeding for a gruelling 4x7 tournament. There is always puck luck and some randomness involved, but its a pretty rigorous 'test'. If we just flipped a coin 10 times, the odds of 10 straight heads is 1/1024. Now the question is what is the proportion of homegrown vs. other goalies [as starters]? We know the last 2 rounds will be 50/50. Rd 2 loser teams were 1 hg (Binnington/Husso) to 3 other. Rd 1 losers IIRC: WAS, NAS, DAL, LAK PIT was pretty weird with DeSmith and Jarry homegrown playing just the first and last games I think? So we started with 7 homegrown, 8 UFA/trade, and PIT's weird situation. I'd imagine most years it's not far off 50/50 either...