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Old 05-27-2022, 11:48 AM   #787
Infinit47
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GioforPM View Post
My understanding is that high medium and low danger chances all are based on where the shot comes from, and not factors like deflections, crazy bounces to an open man, 2 on 1s, breakaways, etc. and that all bears on save % as well, of course. I stand to be corrected on how they calculate but I don't think I'm wrong there.

Over 5 games Markstrom made more tough saves than Smith IMO. He had some bad ones, mostly game 1 and a major league puckhandling gaffe in game 4 (the exact same as Smith's except Coleman was at a worse angle than RNH).
Expected goals for and expected save percentage are way more complex than that. Here is what money puck considers:

Shot Distance From Net
Time Since Last Game Event
Shot Type (Slap, Wrist, Backhand, etc)
Speed From Previous Event
Shot Angle
East-West Location on Ice of Last Event Before the Shot
If Rebound, difference in shot angle divided by time since last shot
Last Event That Happened Before the Shot (Faceoff, Hit, etc)
Other team’s # of skaters on ice
East-West Location on Ice of Shot
Man Advantage Situation
Time since current Powerplay started
Distance From Previous Event
North-South Location on Ice of Shot
Shooting on Empty Net

Markstrom was bad, and significantly worse than Smith.
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