Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - [Signing] Flames sign Jacob Markstrom. (6 yrs, $6mil AAV)

SuperMatt18 · 05-25-2022, 02:06 PM

Yeah based on the goaltending that Dallas was getting in the first round you would expect they would win that series in 5 or 6 games.

Markstrom (and the team around him) were good enough to overcome what was a legendary performance from Oettinger.

Even in round 2 Markstrom has been a part of the problem...but he isn't the only problem.

The .850 save percentage, and -8.3 GSAA are bad from Markstrom, but the Flames are also giving up way too much quality.

Flames are allowing 9.5 High Danger Shots against per 60 (2nd worst in the 2nd round behind only Florida) and Markstrom has a .710 high danger save percentage.

It's the combination of those two things killing the Flames. That has resulted in 11 High Danger Goals against in round two, The next closest team Florida have given up 7.

Flames are giving up too much high danger, Markstrom isn't making enough of the high danger saves, and that's the difference in the series right now.

Flames lead Low Danger Goals 2-1
Flames lead Medium Danger Goals 8-7
Flames are getting pummeled in High Danger Goals 11-5

33 High Danger Shots For, 5 High Danger Goals For, Oilers have a .849 High Danger Save Percentage. (Smith has an .841 the last two regular seasons...so this tracks)

38 High Danger Shots Against, 11 High Danger Goals Against, Flames have a .711 High Danger Save Percentage. (Markstrom has a .829 the last two regular seasons, so below average for him).

That's the difference. It's been a pretty even series overall, and really it should be 2-2. Flames deserved Game 1, Oiler deserved Game 3, probably should have split 2 and 4. Instead Oilers have won both of the toss ups because they've gotten more big saves when it's mattered.

Over the last two regular seasons as a Flame Markstrom has a .829 save percentage on high danger chances and we need him at that level. If he was saving high Danger chances at that same clip it would have meant 4 fewer Goals against in the series (7 instead of 11). And it would be 15-15 in overall goals for / against in the series (excluding empty net). It's the difference so far.

05-25-2022, 02:06 PM	#1077
SuperMatt18 Franchise Player Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Calgary, AB Exp:	Yeah based on the goaltending that Dallas was getting in the first round you would expect they would win that series in 5 or 6 games. Markstrom (and the team around him) were good enough to overcome what was a legendary performance from Oettinger. Even in round 2 Markstrom has been a part of the problem...but he isn't the only problem. The .850 save percentage, and -8.3 GSAA are bad from Markstrom, but the Flames are also giving up way too much quality. Flames are allowing 9.5 High Danger Shots against per 60 (2nd worst in the 2nd round behind only Florida) and Markstrom has a .710 high danger save percentage. It's the combination of those two things killing the Flames. That has resulted in 11 High Danger Goals against in round two, The next closest team Florida have given up 7. Flames are giving up too much high danger, Markstrom isn't making enough of the high danger saves, and that's the difference in the series right now. Flames lead Low Danger Goals 2-1 Flames lead Medium Danger Goals 8-7 Flames are getting pummeled in High Danger Goals 11-5 33 High Danger Shots For, 5 High Danger Goals For, Oilers have a .849 High Danger Save Percentage. (Smith has an .841 the last two regular seasons...so this tracks) 38 High Danger Shots Against, 11 High Danger Goals Against, Flames have a .711 High Danger Save Percentage. (Markstrom has a .829 the last two regular seasons, so below average for him). That's the difference. It's been a pretty even series overall, and really it should be 2-2. Flames deserved Game 1, Oiler deserved Game 3, probably should have split 2 and 4. Instead Oilers have won both of the toss ups because they've gotten more big saves when it's mattered. Over the last two regular seasons as a Flame Markstrom has a .829 save percentage on high danger chances and we need him at that level. If he was saving high Danger chances at that same clip it would have meant 4 fewer Goals against in the series (7 instead of 11). And it would be 15-15 in overall goals for / against in the series (excluding empty net). It's the difference so far. Last edited by SuperMatt18; 05-25-2022 at 02:14 PM.