Quote:
Originally Posted by bubbsy
Regression to the mean can happen the larger you increase the sample size.
That's why these advanced stats in the playoffs aren't a useful indicator of the future. That's why we've seen unknown goalies pull off massive playoff shocking success, underdog teams go all the way
At this point, oilers are generating a ton of grade A chances, and markstrom isn't making enough 10 bell saves to steal them anything (particularly in games 2 & 3, he was absolute horse poop game 1).
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They do tell you what's happened though, at least to some degree, and when the numbers are outside what you see historically from their regular season performance or other team's playoff performances it does suggest a heater (or cold streak) and that a correction is coming.
Advanced stats will improve, with one of the biggest targets being a further separation of high danger chances into categories.
But with the numbers we have today the Flames have more high danger chances in the series in all situations than the Oilers do.
44-38
By game ...
1) 19-7
2) 11-16
3) 14-15
High danger goals ...
By game
1) 2-2
2) 2-3
3) 0-3