Mike Smith's biggest weakness is his (lack of) lateral movement. The Flames are well aware of this, and it was a primary reason that they let him walk.
It is true that the Flames didn't get Oettinger moving laterally enough, but it wasn't from a lack of trying - the Stars did a tremendous job of limiting the Flames' ability to execute cross-crease passes.
I think it is extremely unlikely that the Oilers will be able to do the same job defensively.
Two huge matchups in this series: the Oilers PP vs the Flames PK; and the Oilers defense vs the Flames' ability to generate offensive chances off the forecheck, with the extension of that being the ability to get Smith moving laterally.
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