Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
On that chart, Avs vs MIN...
Better chance of 2nd round, Avs
Better chance of 3rd round, Avs (i.e. against each other)
Better chance of 4th round, Avs
Better chance of winning cup, Wild
How can that possibly be, statistically?
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not going to defend (or slam) their model but I think its a combination of
1. ? a typo/data error- on their site in the main table they have Aves 13.7 and Minny 13.3 for the cup (reversed in this chart)
2. their models seem to like Minnesota better as a team, but they like the Aves path better (which must be based on a late adjustment on Nashville because their ranking of STL is quite low I think)- so I do think if either team was in the finals this model would spit out Minnesota as slightly better odds