The Flames have guaranteed home advantage in the first round and can't fall bellow second in the pacific. It seems it's down to Dallas or Nashville as the Flames' first round opponent. The rest of the teams have less than a 0.8% chance with Vegas and LA leading the way.
Updated likely
first round opponents:
Weighted Schedule:
DAL - 64.6% (was 26.8%)
NSH - 33.7% (52.9%)
Without taking account opponents in the games remaining:
DAL - 56.0%
NSH - 42.0%