Quote:
Originally Posted by FlamesAddiction
I have read a lot about Russia's demographic problems and this video summarizes a lot of that information:
There is obviously a lot of information that you have to take at face value to accept the premise... I don't think many people here have the time or resources to fact check it all. I suspect the facts are correct, but I guess you could argue the conclusions.
Anyway, it does explain the question of why Russia is making this move now. The person making the video said that this war will be the last major conventional war Russia can wage unless they somehow fix their demographic problems, which likely won't be for a few generations. Keep in mind this was posted during the military build up and not after the war began.
Edit: After re-watching, the later part of the video was from before the invasion, but the first part was obviously after.
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I was interested and watched several others of his lectures as well as reading comments and his background sources and I'm not convinced. I think he's got some good points and starting data but he has a penchant for hyperbole and dramatic prognostication.
In his other lecture, he's also saying that China is "done" and will be "horrific" by 2030 because of a demographic collapse from one-child policies.
Russia and China will both have demographic pressures but nothing to the extent that this guy is predicting. His underlying information is also super flawed, he makes easily disprovable claims such as Gorbachov being from the KGB and extrapolates that Russia is only ruled and can only be ruled by a pool of 150 people from the KGB and are doomed as a nation because of that.
It's an attractive message if you are hoping for Ukrainian success but take it with a grain of salt. Both the Russian and Chinese nations will be here as influential powers for decades to come.