Quote:
Originally Posted by calgarygeologist
We know there has been about 200,000 reported cases since Christmas most of which were Omicron. If the estimate of only 1 in 10 cases having been caught is accurate that means about 45% of the Alberta population has had Covid in the last three months.
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That level of infection seems unlikely. The UK conducts regular serosurveys to check for N-protein antibodies (which indicate an infection) and as of the end of February, they were only seeing about 36% of samples having antibodies. And that would include the entire pandemic (minus anyone whose antibodies wanted to undetectable levels), not just the Omicron wave. So Alberta having 45% of the population infected in a 3-month period would be pretty unbelievable.