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You Need a Thneed · 03-25-2022, 10:35 AM

There are obvious many possible score permutations, but here is an example of how impossible it would be for us to not qualify even if we lose both games 1-0.

If Canada loses both games 1-0, ( this leaves us with a final goal differential of +11)

Costa Rica would have to win both their games 5-0 or more (this gets them to goal differential if +12, we win the next tiebreaker if they only match us at +11)

And the USA would have to beat Panama 7-0 or more (other than the Panama game, they would be +4 GD, and they would have to match us at +11, and in this scenario would beat us on second tiebreaker)

The margin of victory can go down if they lose to Costa Rica by less, but then Costa Rica has to beat El Salvador by an even greater margin.

03-25-2022, 10:35 AM	#4156
You Need a Thneed Voted for Kodos Join Date: Dec 2007 Exp:	There are obvious many possible score permutations, but here is an example of how impossible it would be for us to not qualify even if we lose both games 1-0. If Canada loses both games 1-0, ( this leaves us with a final goal differential of +11) Costa Rica would have to win both their games 5-0 or more (this gets them to goal differential if +12, we win the next tiebreaker if they only match us at +11) And the USA would have to beat Panama 7-0 or more (other than the Panama game, they would be +4 GD, and they would have to match us at +11, and in this scenario would beat us on second tiebreaker) The margin of victory can go down if they lose to Costa Rica by less, but then Costa Rica has to beat El Salvador by an even greater margin. __________________ My LinkedIn Profile. Last edited by You Need a Thneed; 03-25-2022 at 10:39 AM.